The Vector Error Correction Model Analysis on The Dow Jones Islamic Market Index of Malaysia, Japan, China and The Jakarta Islamic Index

Andi Nurhidayati Ali, Alim Syariati, Rusnawati Rusnawati

Abstract


The development of the Islamic capital market in Indonesia cannot be separated from the influence of foreign capital markets, especially in the Asian region. Fluctuations occuring in the JII indicate the existence of a contagious effect caused by stock price movements in a country that can affect stock price movements in other countries or sectors. This study aims to determine the relationship between DJIMI Malaysia, Japan, China and the JII. This research uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) method using monthly data on the stock price index from January 2021 to December 2023. The results showed that in the long term, DJIJP has a positive significant relationship with the JII, DJICHK has a negative significant relationship with the JII, while DJIMY has no statistically significant relationship with the JII. While in the short term DJIMY, DJIJP and DJICHK do not have a significant relationship with the JII. This research provides information for investors and academics in understanding the dynamics of Islamic stock markets in Malaysia, Japan, China and Indonesia.

Full Text:

PDF

References


Ahmed, W. M. A. (2017). The impact of foreign equity flows on market volatility during politically tranquil and turbulent times: The Egyptian experience. Research in International Business and Finance, 40, 61–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2016.12.006

Aloui, R., Aïssa, M. S. Ben, & Nguyen, D. K. (2011). Global financial crisis, extreme interdependences, and contagion effects: The role of economic structure? Journal of Banking and Finance, 35(1), 130–141. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.07.021

Azar, S. A., & Chopurian, N. A. (2018). Commodity indexes and the stock markets of the GCC countries. Arab Economic and Business Journal, 13(2), 134–142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aebj.2018.08.001

BenSaïda, A., Litimi, H., & Abdallah, O. (2018). Volatility spillover shifts in global financial markets. Economic Modelling, 73(April), 343–353. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2018.04.011

Budiandru, B., & Nuryadin, D. (2022). Integration of the Indonesian Islamic Stock Index: Evidence from Developed and Developing Countries. Iqtishadia, 15(2), 273. https://doi.org/10.21043/iqtishadia.v15i2.14462

Cahyaning Pratiwi, A., Kusuma Wardhana, A., & Rusgianto, S. (2022). Application of Vector Error Correction Model on Macroeconomic Variables toward Changes in the Composite Stock Price Index. Daengku: Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences Innovation, 2(2), 219–229. https://doi.org/10.35877/454ri.daengku883

Cieslak, A., & Schrimpf, A. (2019). Non-monetary news in central bank communication. Journal of International Economics, 118, 293–315. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2019.01.012

Darmawan, Z. C. (2023). INTEGRATION ANALYSIS OF SHARIA STOCK PRICE INDEX IN INDONESIA , MALAYSIA , CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES ISLAMIC CAPITAL MARKETS. 8(April), 59–80.

Fadhilah, P. R., Ekonomi, F., & Yarsi, U. (2017). ANALISIS INTEGRASI SAHAM SYARIAH DI ASIA dengan SAHAM SYARIAH DI INDONESIA. Vd.

FEBRIYANTO, F. (2018). Keputusan Diversifikasi Portofolio Investasi Diera Mea. Fidusia : Jurnal Keuangan Dan Perbankan, 1(2), 52–67. https://doi.org/10.24127/jf.v1i2.306

Gio, P. U. (2022). Vector Auto-Regression (VAR) & Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) dengan Software EViews. Statkomat, 29.

Gunawan, D., & Cahyadi, W. (2019). Integrasi Pasar Saham Indonesia Dengan Pasar Saham Asia. Jurnal Pasar Modal Dan Bisnis, 1(2), 145–154. https://doi.org/10.37194/jpmb.v1i2.27

Khalid, U., Okafor, L. E., & Shafiullah, M. (2020). The Effects of Economic and Financial Crises on International Tourist Flows: A Cross-Country Analysis. Journal of Travel Research, 59(2), 315–334. https://doi.org/10.1177/0047287519834360

Mailangka, J. (2013). Integrasi Pasar Modal Indonesia dan Beberapa Bursa di Dunia (Periode Januari 2013 - Maret 2013). Journal EMBA, 1(9), 722–731.

Mubarok, F., Al Arif, M. N. R., & Mufraini, M. A. (2020). The Stability of the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index to Economic Shocks. Iqtishadia, 13(2), 138. https://doi.org/10.21043/iqtishadia.v13i2.7748

Nugroho, W. S., Astuti, A. B., & Astutik, S. (2021). Vector Error Correction Model to Forecasting Spot Prices for Coffee Commodities during Covid-19 Pandemic. Journal of Physics: Conference Series. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1811/1/012076

Prianto, S., & Darwanto, D. (2021). PENGARUH DOW JONES ISLAMIC MARKET INDEX (DJIMI) DI BEBERAPA NEGARA TERHADAP PERGERAKAN JAKARTA ISLAMIC INDEX (JII). IQTISHADUNA, 12(1). https://doi.org/10.20414/iqtishaduna.v12i1.3141

Qizam, I., Ardiansyah, M., & Qoyum, A. (2020). Integration of Islamic capital market in ASEAN-5 countries: Preliminary evidence for broader benefits from the post-global financial crisis. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, 11(3), 811–825. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-08-2019-0149

Robiyanto, R. (2018). Performance Evaluation of Stock Price Indexes in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. International Research Journal of Business Studies, 10(3), 173–182. https://doi.org/10.21632/irjbs.10.3.173-182

Sella, N. P., Zuliansyah, A., & Nurmalia, G. (2021). Integrasi Indeks Harga Saham Syariah Indonesia pada Pasar Modal Syariah di India, Japan, Malaysia, China Menggunakan Metode Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Al - Mashrof: Islamic Banking and Finance, 2(1), 36–55. http://ejournal.radenintan.ac.id/index.php/almashrof/article/view/8798/4336

Setyawan, I. R., Rorlen, & Ekadjaja, M. (2021). Kointegrasi Bursa Efek Indonesia Dengan Bursa Efek. Jurnal Muara Ilmu Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 5(2), 335–347.

Silvers, R. (2021). Does regulatory cooperation help integrate equity markets? Journal of Financial Economics, 142(3), 1275–1300. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.05.040

Sirullah, A. A., Oceania, F. G., Prihastono, B., Wahyuni, N., & Sari, T. (2023). Integration of The Global Islamic Capital Market with The Islamic Capital in Indonesia. 1(2).




DOI: https://doi.org/10.32535/jicp.v7i2.3448

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2024 Andi Nurhidayati Ali, Alim Syariati, Rusnawati Rusnawati

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Flag Counter

Published by:

AIBPM Publisher

Editorial Office:

JL. Kahuripan No. 9 Hotel Sahid Montana, Malang, Indonesia
Phone:
+62 341 366222
Email: journal.jicp@gmail.com
Website:http://ejournal.aibpmjournals.com/index.php/JICP

Supported by: Association of International Business & Professional Management

If you are interested to get the journal subscription you can contact us at admin@aibpm.org.

ISSN 2622-0989 (Print)
ISSN 2621-993X (Online)

DOI:Prefix 10.32535 by CrossREF

Journal of International Conference Proceedings (JICP) INDEXED:

 

In Process


This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.